2/20/2023 0 Comments The longer telegram![]() ![]() Kroenig finally put nuclear weapons on the table. European allies invest in armor and artillery, while Asian allies purchase mines, harpoon missiles, and submarines, and the U.S. supplement existing alliances (e.g., NATO, bilateral alliances in Asia) with new arrangements like the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (QUAD) to “more easily mobilize resources and maintain military superiority over China and Russia”. and its formal treaty allies accounting for nearly 60% of global GDP, Kroenig suggests that the U.S. “key allies in military planning, sharing responsibilities, and streamlining the division of labor for weapons procurement”. GDP, close to the percentage of the GDP spent on defense during the Cold War, because “this new Cold War is just as dangerous as the last one”.Īnother proposal is to include U.S. troops from Afghanistan, Kroenig not only argues against any cuts to military spending, but to double it to 5.6% of U.S. Against the backdrop of the recent withdrawal of U.S. accounts for 24% of global GDP, while China and Russia together account for only 19%. At market prices, although not in real terms, measured in purchasing power parities (PPPs) the U.S. In order to support “defeating Russia and China in overlapping timeframes”, Kroenig proposes that the U.S. will not be forced to make distressing strategic choices about its national security due to limited resources”, Kroenig asserted. Maintaining military containment of both countries is, in Kroenig’s view, a non-negotiable premise. hopes to overthrow its leaders through a “color revolution” and gradually erode the Chinese people’s faith in communism. As regards China, which has a more united people, a more stable ruling party, and a healthier economy, the U.S. hopes to completely dismantle it and destroy its nuclear weapons, causing it to lose all global influence. As regards Russia, which has yet to recover from its weakness, the U.S. According to the U.S., the only way to eliminate the threat is that the two great powers’ submit to U.S.’ global hegemony. In the eyes of the U.S., China and Russia are the two most important adversaries: their vast territory, long history, profound national culture, and strategic nuclear weapons are all threats to American global hegemony. feels threatened by the vacillation of its “global security commitment” with these possibilities. ![]() India-Pakistan Command, was quoted in the article as saying that “China may invade Taiwan within the next six years…If China succeeds in gaining control of Taiwan, it will continue to undermine the American-led Asian order”. Philip Davidson, a former commander of the U.S. Fighting two wars at the same timeĪccording to Kroenig’s article, “A major war in Ukraine may cross international borders and threaten the seven NATO allies bordering Russia, Belarus, and Ukraine…while other vulnerable Eastern European countries, Poland, Romania, or the Baltic states, may be the next target”, despite the fact that both Russia and Ukraine have stated that they have no desire in starting a war. diplomatic and military view of China and Russia, to which China should pay attention. defense think tank, this article by the Scowcroft Center reflects the current mainstream U.S. Matthew Kroenig, the author of this article, is from the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security-Atlantic Council, which published the Longer Telegram last year and advocated for comprehensive containment of China. Instead, Washington and its allies should develop a defense strategy capable of deterring and, if necessary, defeating Russia and China at the same time. The United States remains the world’s leading power with global interests, and it cannot afford to choose between Europe and the Indo-Pacific. Three days ago, Foreign Policy published an article on its website titled “ Washington Must Prepare for War with Both Russia and China.” According to the article, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s recognition of the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics on 21 February means that tensions in Eastern Ukraine are likely to continue to rise, which is exactly what U.S. This was originally written for a Chinese audience and adapted and published in Guancha. ![]()
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